Two events have forced me and many others to re-evaluate our opinions on the current Presidential primaries. First, on the Republican side, I have looked carefully at the qualifications of Ted Cruz. Although he is very right wing, he has many qualifications. He was a very successful law student at Harvard Law School, he was Editor of the Harvard Law Review, a very prestigious position, and no less than Professor Alan Dershowitz said that he was “a brilliant student.” He was then an Attorney General of Texas, following which he ran in the Senate race, defeating his Republican opponents and then the Democratic incumbent to become the junior Senator from Texas in 2013? So he has extensive legal and political experience.
By comparison his main opponent in the Republican primary, Donald Trump is merely a successful business man, who has a following among the disaffected. But, he has no major legal or political experience. His latest gaffe, in which he called for abortions to be illegal and punishments for the women who have abortions will probably lose him most of the female vote. This is a typical impetuous statement by him without any policy background. So my expectation is that from now on Cruz will win more primaries and will eventually take the nomination.
Second, on the Democratic side, the FBI has announced that they are nearing the decision whether or not to indict Hillary Clinton for breaking the law by using a private unsecured e-mail system for all her communications while she was Secretary of State. If she is indicted her primary campaign will almost certainly be over, and even if she is not, information will leak showing the extent of her wrong-doing, such as mingling her private e-mails from the Clinton Foundation with Top Secret e-mails from the State Dept. Someone with this level of stupidity and lack of care for national security is not qualified to be President. This will give a big boost to her opponent Bernie Sanders, who has been doing well in the relatively liberal State of Wisconsin.
Since both Cruz and Sanders are expected to win in Wisconsin this week and in several other western states, this may be the turning point, the beginning of the end for the hopes of Trump and Clinton. From now on it may become a race between a declared Socialist and a right wing activist. Quite an easy choice for most Americans. .