To Bibi or not to Bibi?

To vote for Bibi, or not to vote for Bibi, that is the question?  That is the main question facing nearly 6 million Israelis who go to the polls today.  There are two main groups of voters, those who put security first (right wing) who will tend to vote for Bibi and those who put domestic, social and economic issues first (left wing) who want anyone but Bibi.  But unfortunately there is no one to substitute for Bibi, no-one else has his stature and even the supporters of Isaac Buji Herzog, the Head of Labor and the so-called Zionist Union, do not pretend that he is Prime Ministerial material.

A last-minute concession by Herzog’s partner Tzipi Livni of the Hatnua party that she will not insist on a rotation of the PM’s position, may help get the Zionist Union more votes, because frankly many people regard Livni as little more than an ambitious obsessed politicians who will stop at nothing to achieve high office.  But, it came too late to really influence the outcome.   Also, Bibi’s disavowal of the “two-state solution” and against the formation of a Palestinian State may be irrelevant, because his losses of votes are mainly in the domestic area.   The issue of peace with the Palestinians has played little or no role in the current election campaign.  More worrying are Iran and the depredations of IS not so far from our borders.

Few have taken note that under the Israeli democratic system, the hostile Arab parties, consisting of nationalists, communists and Islamists, have managed to combine in a single United Arab list.  Nowhere else in the Arab world would such a union be possible.  But, because they are unified, the Arab Union may get more votes and take more seats than before, making them the third largest party in the Knesset.  This may not translate into electoral power, because they are expected to be in the opposition, since they will not likely form a coalition with any Zionist party, even that of Herzog.

A high turn-out is expected, over 70%, but It is reported that ca. 15% of the electorate are undecided and are expected to vote only once they get in the booth.  So the results are unpredictable, and what is even more unknown is how the coalition negotiations will go, can the right out-number the left?  This was written after I voted but before the end of the polls at 10 pm tonite.  I hope to send out an analysis of the actual election results in the morning.  So good night and good luck.


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